Estimating and anticipating a dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

Laurent Perrinet, Chloé Pasturel and Anna Montagnini

Visual motion Fest - Invibe Team – INT / Marseille February 1 & 2, 2018

Outline

  1. A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

  2. Raw psychophysical results
  3. The Bayesian Changepoint Detector
  4. Results using the BCP

A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

Outline

  1. A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction
  2. Raw psychophysical results

  3. The Bayesian Changepoint Detector
  4. Results using the BCP

Raw psychophysical results

Raw psychophysical results

Raw psychophysical results

Raw psychophysical results

Raw psychophysical results

Raw psychophysical results

Outline

  1. A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction
  2. Raw psychophysical results
  3. The Bayesian Changepoint Detector

  4. Results using the BCP

The Bayesian Changepoint Detector

The Bayesian Changepoint Detector

The Bayesian Changepoint Detector

Bayesian Changepoint Detector

  1. Initialize
    • $P(r_0)= S(r)$ or $P(r_0=0)=1$ and
    • $ν^{(0)}_1 = ν_{prior}$ and $χ^{(0)}_1 = χ_{prior}$
  2. Observe New Datum $x_t$
  3. Evaluate Predictive Probability $π_{1:t} = P(x |ν^{(r)}_t,χ^{(r)}_t)$
  4. Calculate Growth Probabilities $P(r_t=r_{t-1}+1, x_{1:t}) = P(r_{t-1}, x_{1:t-1}) π^{(r)}_t (1−H(r^{(r)}_{t-1}))$
  5. Calculate Changepoint Probabilities $P(r_t=0, x_{1:t})= \sum_{r_{t-1}} P(r_{t-1}, x_{1:t-1}) π^{(r)}_t H(r^{(r)}_{t-1})$
  6. Calculate Evidence $P(x_{1:t}) = \sum_{r_{t-1}} P (r_t, x_{1:t})$
  7. Determine Run Length Distribution $P (r_t | x_{1:t}) = P (r_t, x_{1:t})/P (x_{1:t}) $
  8. Update Sufficient Statistics :
    • $ν^{(0)}_{t+1} = ν_{prior}$, $χ^{(0)}_{t+1} = χ_{prior}$
    • $ν^{(r+1)}_{t+1} = ν^{(r)}_{t} +1$, $χ^{(r+1)}_{t+1} = χ^{(r)}_{t} + u(x_t)$
  9. Perform Prediction $P (x_{t+1} | x_{1:t}) = P (x_{t+1}|x_{1:t} , r_t) P (r_t|x_{1:t})$
  10. go to (2)

The Bayesian Changepoint Detector

The Bayesian Changepoint Detector

Outline

  1. A dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction
  2. Raw psychophysical results
  3. The Bayesian Changepoint Detector
  4. Results using the BCP

Results using the BCP

Results using the BCP

Results using the BCP

Results using the BCP

Results using the BCP

Results using the BCP

Estimating and anticipating a dynamic probabilistic bias in visual motion direction

Laurent Perrinet, Chloé Pasturel and Anna Montagnini

Visual motion Fest - Invibe Team – INT / Marseille February 1 & 2, 2018